This is not a future scenario. The Central Bank of Ireland, Banking & Payments Federation Ireland, and An Garda Síochána have each published on how fraud is becoming more sophisticated. The common thread is AI: it is lowering the cost and raising the speed of the techniques criminals use. For a credit union, that changes the calculus, because controls designed against manual fraud are now facing automated attacks.
Synthetic-identity fraud combines real and fabricated details to create an identity that does not belong to any single person. AI has compressed the time to build a convincing one to under twenty minutes, and improved the quality of the supporting material.
For onboarding, that is the pressure point. A process tuned to catch the obvious tells of a fake identity may not catch a synthetic one assembled by AI to pass exactly those checks. The risk is admitting a fraudulent member who looks, on paper, entirely legitimate, with the financial-crime and member trust exposure that follows.